One of the biggest challenges facing most global coastal cities will be adaptation to changes in relative sea level. Much of South Florida and the Miami metropolis sits of land at very low elevation. The CRUNCH Miami research team is focusing on two municipalities: the City of Miami Beach and the City of South Miami. These two municipalities will face varying challenges over the next 80 years and beyond as the Atlantic Ocean encroaches on what was once dry land.

The geology of South Florida, a bedrock of porous limestone, enhances the risk of flooding as water can percolate up through the limestone. The map to the right shows the rising sea level in blue and areas of land that are lower than the current projected sea level in red. The graph below shows NOAA’s various predictions as to when to expect such levels of sea level rise.

The two municipalities are outlined in red with the City of South Miami in the lower left quadrant of the map and the City of Miami Beach in the upper right quadrant.

Historical Hurricane Tracks

Tracking and understanding hurricanes is important to scientists and climatologists who seek to find patterns and variability as a piece in understanding climate change.  For emergency management officials and and those who live in a possible hurricane strike area, it is imperative to study and be aware of the patterns and possibilities in order to prevent loss of life.

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U.S. Climate Resilience Toolkit

The U.S. Climate Resilience Toolkit is a website designed to help people find and use tools, information, and subject matter expertise to build climate resilience. The Toolkit offers information from all across the U.S. federal government in one easy-to-use location.

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The chart below shows projected relative sea level change until 2100 based on modeling by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers (USACE). The various models run conservative to extreme scenarios for comparison for the South Florida region. To look at probabilities for your region click the button below.

USACE Sea Level Change Curve Calculator


NOAA Office for Coastal Management – Sea Level Rise Viewer
2014 National Climate AssesmentSea Level Rise – Understanding Sea Level Rise

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